Category Archives: Football

World Cup 2018 Quarter Final Update

My model now gives Brazil odds of >1/3 that they will win the World Cup.

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World Cup 2018 Round of 16 Update

With the end of the group stage of the World Cup we’ve lost half of the teams and it’s time to update our predictions.

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World Cup 2018 Group Stage Round 2 Update

Quick update on the World Cup model following the 2nd round of group fixtures.

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World Cup 2018 Predictions Update

Following the end of the first round of the World Cup group stage let’s see how the model is doing and how the predictions have changed.

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World Cup 2018 Predictions

The World Cup is almost upon us and so it’s time to make some predictions…

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Probability of World Cup Group Draw

The lineup for the 2018 FIFA World Cup is now complete, and the teams have been sorted into pots ahead of the group stage draw on December 1st. All draws are not equally likely, so what teams is your team … Continue reading

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Correlation of mean transfer spend and UEFA coefficient

How does a countries mean transfer spend relate to its UEFA coefficient?

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Most expensive Premier League football transfer of all time: Rio Ferdinand

No, this post isn’t 15 years late, Rio Ferdinand really did cost “more” than Paul Pogba…

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Number of days until first Premier League manager sacking

I’ll get straight to the point, on average the first Premier League manager is sacked after 77 days.

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Rooney Most Capped Outfield Player – updated data

About a year ago I wrote a post examining the data when Rooney become England’s highest ever goal scorer. Now he has become the most capped outfield player I thought I should update the stats.

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